North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) Seasonal Prediction System
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dateStamp: 2023-06-23
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title: North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) Seasonal Prediction System
alternateTitle: NMME
date: (CI_Date)
date: 2018-12-01
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code: NCEI DSI 6196_01
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code: gov.noaa.ncdc:C01540
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abstract: The North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) is a multi-model seasonal forecasting system consisting of coupled models from North American modeling centers. The contributing modeling centers are NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP), NOAA's Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL), NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC), Environment Canada’s Centre for Climate Modeling and Analysis (CCCma), and the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). The models include the Climate Forecast System model version 2 (CFSv2-2011), the Forecast-oriented Low Ocean Resolution model using parameter set B (FLORB-01), the Goddard Earth Observing System Model version 5 (GEOS-5), the Canadian Coupled Climate Model versions 3 and 4 (CanCM3, CanCM4), the Community Earth System Model version 1 (CESM1) and the Community Climate System Model version 4 (CCSM4). It contains global, 12-month daily forecasts of key variables from the participating models at a 1-degree latitude by 1-degree longitude spatial resolution. The model variables are liquid water equivalent precipitation rate, 2-meter air temperature, maximum and minimum 2-meter air temperatures, zonal and meridional surface stress, air pressure at sea level, specific humidity at 850 hPa, zonal and meridional wind at 850 hPa, zonal and meridional wind at 200 hPa, geopotential height at 500 hPa, net solar flux at surface and net longwave flux at top of model. The data file format is netCDF.
purpose: Several studies have found that the multi-model ensemble (MME) approach has proven extremely effective at quantifying prediction uncertainty due to uncertainty in model formulation, and has proven to produce better prediction quality (on average) than a single model ensemble.
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fileDescription: NMME CCSM4 Daily Maximum Temperature
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keyword: Earth Science > Atmosphere > Altitude > Geopotential Height
keyword: Earth Science > Atmosphere > Atmospheric Pressure > Sea Level Pressure
keyword: earth science > atmosphere > atmospheric radiation > radiative flux
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keyword: Earth Science > Atmosphere > Atmospheric Radiation > Solar Radiation
keyword: Earth Science > Atmosphere > Atmospheric Radiation > Longwave Radiation
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keyword: Earth Science > Atmosphere > Atmospheric Temperature > Surface Temperature > Air Temperature
keyword: Earth Science > Atmosphere > Atmospheric Temperature > Surface Temperature > Maximum/Minimum Temperature
keyword: Earth Science > Atmosphere > Atmospheric Winds > Wind Dynamics > Wind Stress
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keyword: Earth Science > Atmosphere > Atmospheric Winds > Surface Winds
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keyword: Earth Science > Atmosphere > Precipitation > Precipitation Rate
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keyword: 100 km - < 250 km or approximately 1 degree - < 2.5 degrees
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keyword: DOC/NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC > National Climatic Data Center, NESDIS, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce
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keyword: U-MIAMI/RSMAS > Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, University of Miami
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otherConstraints: Distribution liability: NOAA and NCEI make no warranty, expressed or implied, regarding these data, nor does the fact of distribution constitute such a warranty. NOAA and NCEI cannot assume liability for any damages caused by any errors or omissions in these data. If appropriate, NCEI can only certify that the data it distributes are an authentic copy of the records that were accepted for inclusion in the NCEI archives.
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title: The North American Multimodel Ensemble: Phase-1 seasonal-to-interannual prediction; Phase-2 toward developing intraseasonal prediction
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fees: In most cases, electronic downloads of the data are free. However, fees may apply for custom orders, data certifications, copies of analog materials, and data distribution on physical media.
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maintenanceNote: Bulk metadata change applied on 2023-06-23. See version control repository history for metadata change details.
