NOAA Operational Forecast System-Related Guidance Products for Waterborne Pathogens in the Chesapeake Bay

OFS Chesapeake Bay Vibrio Forecasts

browse graphicConcentration of Vibrio vulnificus (Vv) in Chesapeake Bay Oysters
The presence of Vibrio vulnificus (Vv), a naturally-occurring bacteria that can be harmful to human health, is related to temperature and salinity. Vv forecasts for the Chesapeake Bay based on Operational Forecast Systems (CBOFS) include daily and next day probability forecast guidance on the CBOFS model grid. The occurrence of Vv is predicted by forcing a statistical model with physical variables: temperature and salinity averaged over top 1 meter and over 24 hours centered on 06Z of the current day. The resolution of the CBOFS irregular grid ranges from 34m and 29m in the x and y directions, respectively to 4895m and 3380m.
  • Cite as: Jacobs, John; Daniels, Robert; Zhang, Aijun; Zheng, Lianyuan. (2018). NOAA Operational Forecast System-Related Guidance Products for Waterborne Pathogens in the Chesapeake Bay. NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information. doi: 10.25921/07vb-3427. [access date]
Order Data
  • NCEI Web site (order)
    Contact NCEI for more information about how to acquire the dataset.
Distribution Formats
  • netCDF-4
    • File Compression: internal compression (deflate level of 9)
Distributor Customer Engagement Branch
DOC/NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI > National Centers for Environmental Information, NESDIS, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce
1-828-271-4800
ncei.orders@noaa.gov
Dataset Point of Contact Customer Service
DOC/NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI > National Centers for Environmental Information, NESDIS, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce
+1 301-713-3277
NODC.Services@noaa.gov
Time Period 2015-04-01 to Present (time interval: 24-hour)
Spatial Bounding Box Coordinates
N: 39.62
S: 36.19
E: -74.81
W: -77.32
Spatial Coverage Map
Dataset Information
General Documentation
Processing Documents
  • NOAA Technical Memorandum NOS NCCOS 112
    • NOAA Technical Memorandum NOS NCCOS 112
      Jacobs, J.M., M. Rhodes, C.W. Brown, R.R. Hood, A. Leigh, W. Long and R. Wood. 2010. Predicting the Distribution of Vibrio vulnificus in Chesapeake Bay. NOAA Technical Memorandum NOS NCCOS 112. 12 pp.
  • NOAA Technical Memorandum NOS NCCOS 215
    • NOAA Technical Memorandum NOS NCCOS 215
      Lanerolle, L, R. Daniels, B. Zhang, and J. Jacobs. 2016. Skill assessment of NOAA's Chesapeake Bay Vibrio vulnificus model. NOAA Technical Memorandum NOS NCCOS 215. 18 pp.
  • Modeling and forecasting the distribution of Vibrio vulnificus in Chesapeake Bay
Publication Dates
  • publication: 2018-05-03
Data Presentation Form Digital image
Dataset Progress Status Ongoing - data is continually being updated
Data Update Frequency Continual
Purpose Intended use includes researchers studying the impacts or ecology of Vibrio and pathogens, and emergency managers in need of historical Vibrio vulnificus data.
Use Limitations
  • The pre-2018 data files contain 25 time steps per forecast day, while the newer 2018 data contains 24 time steps. In 2018, the CBOFS model discontinued the f00 time step that was used in the time averaging for the Vibrio model.
Dataset Citation
  • Cite as: Jacobs, John; Daniels, Robert; Zhang, Aijun; Zheng, Lianyuan. (2018). NOAA Operational Forecast System-Related Guidance Products for Waterborne Pathogens in the Chesapeake Bay. NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information. doi: 10.25921/07vb-3427. [access date]
Cited Authors
  • Jacobs, John
    US DOC; NOAA; NOS; National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science (NCCOS)
  • Daniels, Robert
    US DOC; NOAA; NWS; Ocean Prediction Center (OPC)
  • Zhang, Aijun
    DOC/NOAA/NOS/CO-OPS > Center for Operational Oceanographic Products and Services, National Ocean Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce
  • Zhang, Lianyuan
    DOC/NOAA/NOS/CO-OPS > Center for Operational Oceanographic Products and Services, National Ocean Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce
  • NCCOS Scientific Data Coordinator
    US DOC; NOAA; NOS; National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science (NCCOS)
Principal Investigators
  • Jacobs, John
    US DOC; NOAA; NOS; National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science (NCCOS)
Collaborators
  • Daniels, Robert
    US DOC; NOAA; NWS; Ocean Prediction Center (OPC)
  • Zhang, Aijun
    DOC/NOAA/NOS/CO-OPS > Center for Operational Oceanographic Products and Services, National Ocean Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce
  • Zhang, Lianyuan
    DOC/NOAA/NOS/CO-OPS > Center for Operational Oceanographic Products and Services, National Ocean Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce
Resource Providers
  • NCCOS Scientific Data Coordinator
    US DOC; NOAA; NOS; National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science (NCCOS)
Publishers
  • DOC/NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI > National Centers for Environmental Information, NESDIS, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce
Theme keywords Global Change Master Directory (GCMD) Science Keywords
  • Earth Science > Biological Classification > Bacteria/Archaea
  • Earth Science > Biosphere > Ecosystems > Marine Ecosystems > Coastal
  • Earth Science > Biosphere > Ecosystems > Marine Ecosystems > Estuary
  • Earth Science > terrestrial hydrosphere > water quality/Water Chemistry > Contaminants > Pathogen
  • Earth Science > Oceans > Ocean Temperature > Sea Surface Temperature
  • Earth Science > Oceans > Salinity/Density > Salinity
  • Earth Science Services > Environmental Advisories > Health Advisories > Human Health Advisories
  • Earth Science Services > Environmental Advisories > Marine Advisories > Marine Biology
  • Earth Science Services > Models > Ocean General Circulation Models (ogcm)/Regional Ocean Models
Keyword Thesaurus Title
  • DOC/NOAA/NOS/NCCOS > National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science, National Ocean Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce
  • DOC/NOAA/NWS/NCEP > National Centers for Environmental Prediction, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce
  • DOC/NOAA/NOS/CO-OPS > Center for Operational Oceanographic Products and Services, National Ocean Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce
  • NCCOS Research Priority > Stressor Impacts and Mitigation
  • NCCOS Research Priority > Marine Spatial Ecology
  • NCCOS Research Topic > Harmful Algal Bloom (HAB) Detection and Forecasting
  • NCCOS Research Location > Region > Atlantic Ocean
  • NCCOS Research Location > U.S. States and Territories > Maryland
  • NCCOS Research Location > U.S. States and Territories > Virginia
  • NCCOS Research Data Type > Model
Data Center keywords Global Change Master Directory (GCMD) Data Center Keywords
  • DOC/NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI > National Centers for Environmental Information, NESDIS, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce
Platform keywords Global Change Master Directory (GCMD) Platform Keywords
  • Buoys
Instrument keywords Global Change Master Directory (GCMD) Instrument Keywords
  • In Situ/Laboratory Instruments > Profilers/Sounders > STC, Salinity, Temperature, Conductivity
Place keywords Global Change Master Directory (GCMD) Location Keywords
  • Continent > North America > United States Of America > Maryland
  • Continent > North America > United States Of America > Virginia
  • Ocean > Atlantic Ocean > North Atlantic Ocean
Data Resolution keywords Global Change Master Directory (GCMD) Temporal Data Resolution Keywords
  • Hourly - < Daily
Stratum keywords Global Change Master Directory (GCMD) Location Keywords
  • Vertical Location > Sea Surface
Use Constraints
  • Cite as: Jacobs, John; Daniels, Robert; Zhang, Aijun; Zheng, Lianyuan. (2018). NOAA Operational Forecast System-Related Guidance Products for Waterborne Pathogens in the Chesapeake Bay. NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information. doi: 10.25921/07vb-3427. [access date]
  • Current Vibrio models displayed here are considered experimental products, and thus NOAA will not be held liable from issues arising from their interpretation and use.
  • Use liability: NOAA and NCEI cannot provide any warranty as to the accuracy, reliability, or completeness of furnished data. Users assume responsibility to determine the usability of these data. The user is responsible for the results of any application of this data for other than its intended purpose.
Access Constraints
  • Distribution liability: NOAA and NCEI make no warranty, expressed or implied, regarding these data, nor does the fact of distribution constitute such a warranty. NOAA and NCEI cannot assume liability for any damages caused by any errors or omissions in these data. If appropriate, NCEI can only certify that the data it distributes are an authentic copy of the records that were accepted for inclusion in the NCEI archives.
Fees
  • In most cases, electronic downloads of the data are free, however fees may apply for data certifications, copies of analog materials, and data distribution on physical media.
Lineage information for: dataset
Lineage Statement Source data are NOAA CO-OPS Chesapeake Bay Operational Forecast System (CBOFS) model data including water temperature and salinity, and NOAA CBO Chesapeake Bay Interpretive Buoy System (CBIBS) hourly buoy measurements of temperature and salinity. Prior to May 2018, data were managed by NCCOS as experimental data. For this period, two dates were not available to send to the archive: July 11 and July 21, 2016. In 2018, the data product went operational and management of data production transferred to NOAA CO-OPS. During this transfer of management, the eligible pre-2018 data files were re-engineered to match the operational processing of the data. Also, the pre-2018 data files contain 25 time steps per forecast day while the newer 2018 data contains 24 time steps. In 2018, the CBOFS model discontinued the f00 time step that was used in the time averaging for the Vibrio model.
Processor
  • DOC/NOAA/NOS/CO-OPS > Center for Operational Oceanographic Products and Services, National Ocean Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce
Processing Steps
  • See Jacobs et al. (2014), for a description of the Chesapeake Bay Vibrio vulnificus model, and NOAA Technical Memorandum NOS NCCOS 215 (Lanerolle et al., 2016) for a skill assessment.
Processing Documents
    • NOAA Technical Memorandum NOS NCCOS 112
      • NOAA Technical Memorandum NOS NCCOS 112
        Jacobs, J.M., M. Rhodes, C.W. Brown, R.R. Hood, A. Leigh, W. Long and R. Wood. 2010. Predicting the Distribution of Vibrio vulnificus in Chesapeake Bay. NOAA Technical Memorandum NOS NCCOS 112. 12 pp.
    • NOAA Technical Memorandum NOS NCCOS 215
      • NOAA Technical Memorandum NOS NCCOS 215
        Lanerolle, L, R. Daniels, B. Zhang, and J. Jacobs. 2016. Skill assessment of NOAA's Chesapeake Bay Vibrio vulnificus model. NOAA Technical Memorandum NOS NCCOS 215. 18 pp.
Source Datasets
Lineage information for: repository
Processing Steps
  • 2015-04-22T00:00:00 - NOAA created the National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) by merging NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), National Geophysical Data Center (NGDC), and National Oceanographic Data Center (NODC), including the National Coastal Data Development Center (NCDDC), per the Consolidated and Further Continuing Appropriations Act, 2015, Public Law 113-235. NCEI launched publicly on April 22, 2015.
Last Modified: 2018-12-19
For questions about the information on this page, please email: ncei.orders@noaa.gov