NOAA Operational Forecast System-Related Guidance Products for Waterborne Pathogens in the Chesapeake Bay
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title: NOAA Operational Forecast System-Related Guidance Products for Waterborne Pathogens in the Chesapeake Bay
alternateTitle: OFS Chesapeake Bay Vibrio Forecasts
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date: 2018-05-03
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Anchor: DOI doi: 10.25921/07vb-3427
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individualName: Jacobs, John
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individualName: Daniels, Robert
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individualName: Zhang, Aijun
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abstract: The presence of Vibrio vulnificus (Vv), a naturally-occurring bacteria that can be harmful to human health, is related to temperature and salinity. Vv forecasts for the Chesapeake Bay based on Operational Forecast Systems (CBOFS) include daily and next day probability forecast guidance on the CBOFS model grid. The occurrence of Vv is predicted by forcing a statistical model with physical variables: temperature and salinity averaged over top 1 meter and over 24 hours centered on 06Z of the current day. The resolution of the CBOFS irregular grid ranges from 34m and 29m in the x and y directions, respectively to 4895m and 3380m.
purpose: Intended use includes researchers studying the impacts or ecology of Vibrio and pathogens, and emergency managers in need of historical Vibrio vulnificus data.
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fileDescription: Concentration of Vibrio vulnificus (Vv) in Chesapeake Bay Oysters
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keyword: NCCOS Research Priority > Stressor Impacts and Mitigation
keyword: NCCOS Research Priority > Marine Spatial Ecology
keyword: NCCOS Research Topic > Harmful Algal Bloom (HAB) Detection and Forecasting
keyword: NCCOS Research Location > Region > Atlantic Ocean
keyword: NCCOS Research Location > U.S. States and Territories > Maryland
keyword: NCCOS Research Location > U.S. States and Territories > Virginia
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otherConstraints: Cite as: Jacobs, John; Daniels, Robert; Zhang, Aijun; Zheng, Lianyuan. (2018). NOAA Operational Forecast System-Related Guidance Products for Waterborne Pathogens in the Chesapeake Bay. NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information. doi: 10.25921/07vb-3427. [access date]
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statement: Source data are NOAA CO-OPS Chesapeake Bay Operational Forecast System (CBOFS) model data including water temperature and salinity, and NOAA CBO Chesapeake Bay Interpretive Buoy System (CBIBS) hourly buoy measurements of temperature and salinity. Prior to May 2018, data were managed by NCCOS as experimental data. For this period, two dates were not available to send to the archive: July 11 and July 21, 2016. In 2018, the data product went operational and management of data production transferred to NOAA CO-OPS. During this transfer of management, the eligible pre-2018 data files were re-engineered to match the operational processing of the data. Also, the pre-2018 data files contain 25 time steps per forecast day while the newer 2018 data contains 24 time steps. In 2018, the CBOFS model discontinued the f00 time step that was used in the time averaging for the Vibrio model.
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description: See Jacobs et al. (2014), for a description of the Chesapeake Bay Vibrio vulnificus model, and NOAA Technical Memorandum NOS NCCOS 215 (Lanerolle et al., 2016) for a skill assessment.
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description: Jacobs, J.M., M. Rhodes, C.W. Brown, R.R. Hood, A. Leigh, W. Long and R. Wood. 2010. Predicting the Distribution of Vibrio vulnificus in Chesapeake Bay. NOAA Technical Memorandum NOS NCCOS 112. 12 pp.
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description: Lanerolle, L, R. Daniels, B. Zhang, and J. Jacobs. 2016. Skill assessment of NOAA's Chesapeake Bay Vibrio vulnificus model. NOAA Technical Memorandum NOS NCCOS 215. 18 pp.
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title: Modeling and forecasting the distribution of Vibrio vulnificus in Chesapeake Bay
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description: Jacobs, J.M., M. Rhodes, C.W. Brown, R.R. Hood, A. Leight, W. Long, and R. Wood. 2014. Modeling and forecasting the distribution of Vibrio vulnificus in Chesapeake Bay. Journal of Applied Microbiology
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maintenanceNote: Bulk metadata change applied on 2023-06-23. See version control repository history for metadata change details.