Effects of ocean acidification on fishery yields and profits of red king crab in Bristol Bay from model studies (NCEI Accession 0127395)

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This archival package contains model output data that were collected to examine the impact of ocean acidification on fishery yields and profits of red king crab in Bristol Bay. A stage-structured pre-recruit model was developed to capture hypotheses regarding the impact of ocean acidification on the survival of pre-recruit crab. The model was parameterized using life history and survival data for red king crab (Paralithodes camtschaticus) derived from experiments conducted at the National Marine Fisheries Service Kodiak laboratory. A parameterized pre-recruit model was linked to a post-recruit population dynamics model for adult male red king crab in Bristol Bay, Alaska that included commercial fishery harvest. This coupled population dynamics model was integrated with a bioeconomic model of commercial fishing sector profits to forecast how the impacts of ocean acidification on the survival of pre-recruit red king crab will affect yields and profits for the Bristol Bay red king crab fishery fora scenario that includes future ocean pH levels predictions. Expected yields and profits were projected to decline over the next 50-100 years in this scenario given reductions in pre-recruit survival due todecreasing ocean pH levels over time. The target fishing mortality used to provide management advice based on the current harvest policy for Bristol Bay red king crab also declined over time in response todeclining survival rates. However, the impacts of ocean acidification due to reduced pre-recruit survivalon yield and profits are likely to be limited for the next 10-20 years, and its effects will likely be masked by natural variation in pre-recruit survival. This analysis is an initial step toward a fully integrated under-standing of the impact of ocean acidification on fishery yields and profits, and could be used to focus future research efforts.
  • Cite as: Punt, André E.; Poljak, Dušanka; Dalton, Michael G.; Foy, Robert J. (2015). Effects of ocean acidification on fishery yields and profits of red king crab in Bristol Bay from model studies (NCEI Accession 0127395). Version 1.1. NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information. Dataset. doi:10.7289/V5NG4NJC [access date]
gov.noaa.nodc:0127395
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Distributor DOC/NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI > National Centers for Environmental Information, NESDIS, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce
301-713-3277
NCEI.Info@noaa.gov
Dataset Point of Contact Information Services
DOC/NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI > National Centers for Environmental Information, NESDIS, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce
301-713-3277
NCEI.Info@noaa.gov
Time Period 2010-10-01 to 2012-09-30
Spatial Bounding Box Coordinates
N: 58.65
S: 54.6
E: -157
W: -168
Spatial Coverage Map
General Documentation
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  • Dataset Description
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  • Descriptive Information
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Publication Dates
  • publication: 2015-04-24
Edition 1.1
Data Presentation Form Digital table - digital representation of facts or figures systematically displayed, especially in columns
Dataset Progress Status Complete - production of the data has been completed
Data Update Frequency As needed
Supplemental Information
INVESTIGATORS: Punt, Andre E.; Poljak, Dusanka; Dalton, Michael; Foy, Robert J.
FUNDING AGENCY: NOAA's Ocean Acidification Program (OAP).
PROJECT TITLE: Forecast effects of ocean acidification on abundance of Alaska crabs.
PROJECT ID: OAPFY13.03.AFSC.002.
Purpose Develop bioeconomic model to forecast effects of ocean acidification on the fishery in Bristol Bay, Alaska for red king crab (Paralithodes camtschaticus)
Use Limitations
  • accessLevel: Public
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Dataset Citation
  • Cite as: Punt, André E.; Poljak, Dušanka; Dalton, Michael G.; Foy, Robert J. (2015). Effects of ocean acidification on fishery yields and profits of red king crab in Bristol Bay from model studies (NCEI Accession 0127395). Version 1.1. NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information. Dataset. doi:10.7289/V5NG4NJC [access date]
Cited Authors
  • Punt, André E.
  • Poljak, Dušanka
  • Dalton, Michael G.
  • Foy, Robert J.
Principal Investigators
Contributors
Resource Providers
Publishers
Acknowledgments
  • Funding Information: NOAA's Ocean Acidification Program (Forecast effects of ocean acidification on abundance of Alaska crabs, OAPFY13.03.AFSC.002)
Theme keywords NODC DATA TYPES THESAURUS NODC OBSERVATION TYPES THESAURUS WMO_CategoryCode
  • oceanography
Provider Variable Names
  • G
  • Q
  • Sigma
  • U
  • V
  • W
  • m
  • r0
Data Center keywords Global Change Master Directory (GCMD) Data Center Keywords
  • DOC/NOAA/NESDIS/NODC > National Oceanographic Data Center, NESDIS, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce
  • DOC/NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI > National Centers for Environmental Information, NESDIS, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce
  • DOC/NOAA/NMFS/AFSC > Alaska Fisheries Science Center, National Marine Fisheries Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce
NODC COLLECTING INSTITUTION NAMES THESAURUS NODC SUBMITTING INSTITUTION NAMES THESAURUS
Place keywords NODC SEA AREA NAMES THESAURUS Global Change Master Directory (GCMD) Location Keywords
  • OCEAN > PACIFIC OCEAN > NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN > BERING SEA
Provider Geographic Names
  • Bristol Bay, Alaska
Project keywords NODC PROJECT NAMES THESAURUS Ocean Acidification Search Keywords
  • Ocean Acidification Data Stewardship (OADS) Project
  • Ocean Acidification Program (OAP)
Keywords NCEI ACCESSION NUMBER
Use Constraints
  • Cite as: Punt, André E.; Poljak, Dušanka; Dalton, Michael G.; Foy, Robert J. (2015). Effects of ocean acidification on fishery yields and profits of red king crab in Bristol Bay from model studies (NCEI Accession 0127395). Version 1.1. NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information. Dataset. doi:10.7289/V5NG4NJC [access date]
Access Constraints
  • NOAA and NCEI cannot provide any warranty as to the accuracy, reliability, or completeness of furnished data. Users assume responsibility to determine the usability of these data. The user is responsible for the results of any application of this data for other than its intended purpose.
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Lineage information for: dataset
Processing Steps
  • 2015-04-24T14:29:08 - NCEI Accession 0127395 v1.1 was published.
Output Datasets
Lineage information for: dataset
Processing Steps
  • Parameter or Variable: Growth vector ; Abbreviation: G; Unit: Fractions; Observation type: Model output; In-situ / Manipulation / Response variable: Maximum likelihood estimates; Measured or calculated: Estimated; Detailed sampling and analyzing information: Fraction of crabs staying in each size-class in a given year (one minus this rate grow to the next size-class). These fractions form the growth matrix.; Biological subject: red king crab; Species ID: Paralithodes camtschaticus; Researcher name: Andre Punt; Researcher institution: University of Washington.
  • Parameter or Variable: Selectivity vector; Abbreviation: Q; Unit: Number of crab per unit of fishing effort; Observation type: Model output; In-situ / Manipulation / Response variable: Maximum likelihood estimates; Measured or calculated: Estimated; Detailed sampling and analyzing information: Number of crabs in the catch per unit of fishing effort.; Biological subject: red king crab; Species ID: Paralithodes camtschaticus; Researcher name: Andre Punt; Researcher institution: University of Washington.
  • Parameter or Variable: Fraction retained vector; Abbreviation: V; Unit: Fractions; Observation type: Model output; In-situ / Manipulation / Response variable: Maximum likelihood estimates; Measured or calculated: Estimated; Detailed sampling and analyzing information: Fraction of crabs retained per unit catch. Used to calculate yield from catch. ; Biological subject: red king crab; Species ID: Paralithodes camtschaticus; Researcher name: Andre Punt; Researcher institution: University of Washington.
  • Parameter or Variable: Weight vector; Abbreviation: W; Unit: Kilograms; Observation type: Model output; In-situ / Manipulation / Response variable: Maximum likelihood estimates; Measured or calculated: Estimated; Detailed sampling and analyzing information: Average weight of a male crab in each size-class. Weight times proportion mature is fecundity.; Biological subject: red king crab; Species ID: Paralithodes camtschaticus; Researcher name: Andre Punt; Researcher institution: University of Washington.
  • Parameter or Variable: Fecundity vector; Abbreviation: U; Unit: Kilograms; Observation type: Model output; In-situ / Manipulation / Response variable: Maximum likelihood estimates; Measured or calculated: Estimated; Detailed sampling and analyzing information: Fecundity is biomass of spawning crab in each size-class which is the product of the weight and proportion mature in each size-class.; Biological subject: red king crab; Species ID: Paralithodes camtschaticus; Researcher name: Andre Punt; Researcher institution: University of Washington.
  • Parameter or Variable: Natural mortality rate; Abbreviation: m; Unit: Scalar rate per year; Observation type: Model output; In-situ / Manipulation / Response variable: Maximum likelihood estimates; Measured or calculated: Estimated; Detailed sampling and analyzing information: Average mortality rate for each size-class.; Biological subject: red king crab; Species ID: Paralithodes camtschaticus; Researcher name: Andre Punt; Researcher institution: University of Washington.
  • Parameter or Variable: Unfished recruitment; Abbreviation: r0; Unit: Number of crabs; Observation type: Model output; In-situ / Manipulation / Response variable: Maximum likelihood estimates; Measured or calculated: Estimated; Detailed sampling and analyzing information: Number of crabs entering the population when the spawning stock biomass is at the unfished equilibrium.; Biological subject: red king crab; Species ID: Paralithodes camtschaticus; Researcher name: Andre Punt; Researcher institution: University of Washington.
  • Parameter or Variable: Steepness parameter; Abbreviation: Sigma; Unit: Scalar fraction; Observation type: Model output; In-situ / Manipulation / Response variable: Maximum likelihood estimates; Measured or calculated: Estimated; Detailed sampling and analyzing information: Steepness is equal to the expected fraction of unfished recruitment when spawning stock biomass is 20% of its unfished level.; Biological subject: red king crab; Species ID: Paralithodes camtschaticus; Researcher name: Andre Punt; Researcher institution: University of Washington.
Last Modified: 2018-08-10T18:57:17
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