NOAA/WDS Paleoclimatology - New York City 472 Year PDSI Reconstruction
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title: NOAA/WDS Paleoclimatology - New York City 472 Year PDSI Reconstruction
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date: 2012-09-18
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Anchor: DOI doi:10.25921/wscm-g150
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individualName: Pederson, N.
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abstract: This archived Paleoclimatology Study is available from the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI), under the World Data Service (WDS) for Paleoclimatology. The associated NCEI study type is Climate Reconstruction. The data include parameters of climate reconstructions|tree ring with a geographic location of New York, United States Of America. The time period coverage is from 419 to -61 in calendar years before present (BP). See metadata information for parameter and study location details. Please cite this study when using the data.
purpose: Records of past temperature, precipitation, and other climate variables derived from paleoclimate proxies. Parameter keywords describe what was measured in this data set. Additional summary information can be found in the abstracts of papers listed in the data set citations.
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fileDescription: Paleoclimatology - Climate Reconstruction
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keyword: Earth Science > Climate Indicators > Paleoclimate Indicators > Paleoclimate Reconstructions
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date: 2020-01-09
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keyword: earth science > paleoclimate > climate reconstructions|tree ring
keyword: earth science > paleoclimate > climate reconstructions|tree ring
keyword: earth science > paleoclimate > reconstructions > ground water
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keyword: Palmer Drought Index Reconstruction
keyword: drought
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keyword: What: Palmer Drought Severity Index; Material: null
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keyword: Continent > North America > United States Of America > New York > New York Climate Division 5 > LATITUDE 41.4 > LONGITUDE -74.2
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keyword: DOC/NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI > National Centers for Environmental Information, NESDIS, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce
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otherConstraints: Cite as: Pederson, N.; Bell, A.R.; Cook, E.R.; Lall, U.; Devineni, N.; Seager, R.; Eggleston, K.; Vranes, K.J. (2012-09-18): NOAA/WDS Paleoclimatology - New York City 472 Year PDSI Reconstruction. [indicate subset used]. NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information. https://doi.org/10.25921/wscm-g150. Accessed [date].
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otherConstraints: Distribution liability: NOAA and NCEI make no warranty, expressed or implied, regarding these data, nor does the fact of distribution constitute such a warranty. NOAA and NCEI cannot assume liability for any damages caused by any errors or omissions in these data. If appropriate, NCEI can only certify that the data it distributes are an authentic copy of the records that were accepted for inclusion in the NCEI archives.
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otherConstraints: Use liability: NOAA and NCEI cannot provide any warranty as to the accuracy, reliability, or completeness of furnished data. Users assume responsibility to determine the usability of these data. The user is responsible for the results of any application of this data for other than its intended purpose.
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otherConstraints: Please cite original publication, online resource, dataset and publication DOIs (where available), and date accessed when using downloaded data. If there is no publication information, please cite investigator, title, online resource, and date accessed. The appearance of external links associated with a dataset does not constitute endorsement by the Department of Commerce/National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of external Web sites or the information, products or services contained therein. For other than authorized activities, the Department of Commerce/NOAA does not exercise any editorial control over the information you may find at these locations. These links are provided consistent with the stated purpose of this Department of Commerce/NOAA Web site.
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title: Is an Epic Pluvial Masking the Water Insecurity of the Greater New York City Region?
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date: 2013
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organisationName: Journal of Climate
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description: Pederson, N., A.R. Bell, E.R. Cook, U. Lall, N. Devineni, R. Seager, K. Eggleston, and K.J. Vranes, 2013: Is an Epic Pluvial Masking the Water Insecurity of the Greater New York City Region?. Journal of Climate, 26, 1339-1354, 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00723.1
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description: Date Range: 1531 CE to 2011 CE; Date Range: 419 cal yr BP to -61 cal yr BP;
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westBoundLongitude: -74.2
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southBoundLatitude: 41.4
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supplementalInformation: STUDY NOTES: 472 Year Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) Reconstruction for New York Climate Division 5, based on a 32-site, 12 species network of tree ring data from the New York City watershed and Hudson Valley. New York Climate Division 5: ~41°N, ~74°W ABSTRACT SUPPLIED BY ORIGINATOR: Six water emergencies have occurred since 1981 for the New York City region (NYC) despite: 1) its perhumid climate, 2) substantial conservation of water since 1979 and 3) meteorological data showing little severe or extreme drought since 1970. We reconstruct 472 years of moisture availability for the NYC watershed to place these emergencies in long-term hydroclimatic context. Using nested reconstruction techniques, 32 tree-ring chronologies comprised of 12 species account for up to 66.2% of the average May-August Palmer Drought Severity Index. Verification statistics indicate good statistical skill from 1531-2003. The use of multiple tree species, including rarely-used species that can sometimes occur on mesic sites like Liriodendron tulipifera, Betula lenta and Carya spp., seems to aid reconstruction skill. Importantly, the reconstruction captures pluvial events in the instrumental record nearly as well as drought events and is significantly correlated to precipitation over much of the northeastern US. While the mid-1960s drought is a severe drought in the context of the new reconstruction, the region experienced repeated droughts of similar intensity, but greater duration during the 16th and 17th centuries. The full record reveals a trend towards more pluvial conditions since ca 1800 that is accentuated by an unprecedented, 43-year pluvial event that continues through 2011. In the context of the current pluvial, decreasing water usage, but increasing extra-urban pressures, it appears that the water supply system for the greater NYC region could be severely stressed if the current water boom shifts towards hydroclimatic regimes like the 16th and 17th centuries.
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